Mauritania Is Likely To See A Moderate Increase In The Role Of Government Sanctioned Non-State Actors Over The Next Five Years

Executive Summary:
Due to low levels of stability and of democracy, minimal levels of doing business, and corruption levels equal to that of totalitarian states, Mauritania retains a score of 1 on the Extra Government side of the non-state actor role potential spectrum. This indicates that it is likely that lawful non-state actors play little to no role in the country, because the government controls most of the socio-political environment. However, unlawful non-state actors, such as al-Qaeda and al-Qaeda Organization in the Islamic Maghreb, are likely to play a larger role than that of lawful non-state actors. Despite the presence of these actors, it is likely that the role potential of lawful non-state actors will increase over the next five years, due to economic growth, growing involvement in democracy, steps taken to combat corruption, and greater economic opportunities due to discoveries of off-shore oil deposits.

Analytic Confidence: 7
Source Reliability: 9

Discussion:

Overall Scores	Democracy Var.	Doing Bus. Var.	Corruption Var.
Failed States Var.	Geo Dis- NGOs	Geo Dis- Bus.	Geo Dis- Ter Grps.